Bad Beats

Tym razem bez przykładów. Powiem tylko tyle - gram w nl hold'em. Lecą bad beaty na river i przegrywam rozdania, gdzie (pre)flop jestem 85-90% faworyt. Wypijam łyk zielonej hebraty, wchodze na PLO, i w kilkudziesięciu rozdniach łapie 2 razy karetę króli, pokera, kilka fuli już na flopie i straty odrabiam z nawiązką. Ten soft na ftp mnie nie przestaje zadziwiać (na plus i na minus) i chyba tak ma być.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
Hero ($13.38)
BB ($12.87)
UTG ($13.60)
CO ($4.75)
BTN ($9.95)

Dealt to Hero 3♥ 3♦

UTG raises to $0.35, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.30, BB calls $0.25

FLOP ($1.05) Q♣ Q♠ 3♠

Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets $0.78, Hero calls $0.78, BB folds

TURN ($2.61) Q♣ Q♠ 3♠ A♥

Hero checks, UTG bets $1.95, Hero raises to $4.50, UTG raises to $12.47 (AI), Hero calls $7.75 (AI)

RIVER ($27.11) Q♣ Q♠ 3♠ A♥ Q♦

UTG shows Q♥ K♣
(Pre 48%, Flop 22.9%, Turn 15.9%)

Hero shows 3♥ 3♦
(Pre 52%, Flop 77.1%, Turn 84.1%)

UTG wins $25.76

I kilka innych kwiatków jak 4betowane AA vs KQ flop QQQ.
Sety dostaje tylko po to, żeby wjebać set vs wyższy set, set vs kolor/strit oczywiście przy dawaniu niekorzystnych pot odds.
wg HM $EV powinienem wyjść na 0, a zjechałem -84$ (8,4 BI). Taki 2 dniowy downswing przy 3k rozdań, który mnie trochę zniechęcił.

mam pytanie czy jest ktos w stanie obliczyc procentowe prawdobodpobienstwo na takie rozdanie (sorry ale nie konwertowalem)

rush poker 0.10/0.25 nl hold em
Gracz 1 - 44
Gracz 2 - AA
Gracz 3 - QQ

Gracz 1 bets 1$ ,Gracz 2 bets 2 $ gracz 1 i 3 checks

flop : Q74 i w tym momencie leca all iny
turn : A ja z moim pocketem 4 juz jestem w ciezkim szoku
river : Q i to rozkruszylo mi psychike

koncowa pula 98$

jakie jest prawdopodobienstwo na tak CHORE rozdanie ,jak dla mnie to jakas totalna paranoja

nie zeby to bylo popierdolone, ale kurwa

AAxx vs KKxx w rebuyu PLO, izoluje chuja i all-iny PF;
577;2 ; już ma kurwa 4 % , K .... JA PIERDOLĘ !@#!@!@#

3 turnieje PLO dzisiaj, 3 razy bad beaty. 2 razy AAXX rozjebane po all-inach PF, raz przez mega SHITOWY wrap, 68 % mialem ; drugi raz teraz na zdominowane kurwa jebana mac KK...
i AKKT spierdolone przez dziurawy wrap, alliny PF , agresor, duzy stack z BU stealuje, ja juz moge dac shove, wiec nie ma co sie zastanawiac, i znowu przejebane

K U R W A

Pomyliłeś tematy chyba

Kurwa jebana mać pierdolone ongame, jebane promowanie kurwa pierdolonych idiotów
AA<2,4
KK<9,8
AA<K,6
QQ<22
JJ<T,7
i to wszystko w ciągu 20 minut...jak tu się nie wkurwiać.

http://www.PokerStrategy.com
Proces zakończony... 42 ilość przeanalizowanyc rozdań w 0 Sekundy.

Stół: 2d 6d 2s 5d
Dead:

Equity Wygrana Remis Zagubiona Ręka
Gracz 1: 4,762% 4,762% 0,000% 95,238% Qs9s
Gracz 2: 88,095% 88,095% 0,000% 11,905% JhJd
Gracz 3: 7,143% 7,143% 0,000% 92,857% 9d8c

----------------------------------------

co spada na river?
oczywiscie ze Qs! Przeciez jakby nie wiedzial to y nie sprawdzal do rivera tego, nie?

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB$4,36:17/59/12/0,3/40/-/-/50;UTG2$1,20:18/72/6/1,2/36/-/100/40;Hero$13,84:///////;MP3$0,36:11/64/55/2,7/38/-/-/0;[/tg]
0,1/0,2 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J♥, J♦
UTG2 raises, Hero 3-bets, MP2 folds, MP3 caps (All-In), 2 folds, SB calls, BB folds, UTG2 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (15,40 SB) 2♦, 6♦, 2♠ (3 players)
SB checks, UTG2 checks, Hero bets, SB calls, UTG2 calls.

Turn: (9,20 BB) 5♦ (3 players)
SB checks, UTG2 checks, Hero bets, SB folds, UTG2 calls.

River: (11,20 BB) Q♣ (2 players)
UTG2 bets, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 13,20 BB

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows dwie pary, walety i dwójki (Jh Jd)
UTG2 shows dwie pary, damy i dwójki (9s Qs)
MP3 shows para dwójki (9d 8c)

UTG2 wins with dwie pary, damy i dwójki (9s Qs)

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 2.2 Tournament, 250/500 Blinds 50 Ante (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop | saw showdown

BB (t19605)
UTG (t35485)
UTG+1 (t6465)
MP1 (t22057)
MP2 (t32110)
CO (t26906)
Hero (Button) (t18321)
SB (t16742)

Hero's M: 15.93

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, A
2 folds, MP1 bets t1500, MP2 calls t1500, 1 fold, Hero raises to t6500, 2 folds, MP1 raises to t22007 (All-In), MP2 calls t20507, Hero calls t11771 (All-In)

Flop: (t63435) 4, 2, K (3 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (t63435) K (3 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t63435) 3 (3 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t63435

Results:
Hero had A, A (two pair, Aces and Kings).
MP1 had A, A (two pair, Aces and Kings).
MP2 had K, K (four of a kind, Kings).
Outcome: MP2 won t63435

Jakie tu jest prawdopodobieństwo? Ktoś potrafi to policzyć? Jak już policzycie, to policzcie też jakie są realne szanse na to, żebym dzięki cudownemu softowi FTP dostawal na 2 stolach co chwile identyczne ręce (a dzieje mi się tak w sng9)

Napisane przez sawmody
Jakie tu jest prawdopodobieństwo? Ktoś potrafi to policzyć? Jak już policzycie, to policzcie też jakie są realne szanse na to, żebym dzięki cudownemu softowi FTP dostawal na 2 stolach co chwile identyczne ręce (a dzieje mi się tak w sng9)

Na Ftp inaczej liczy się prawdopobienstwo, bo soft jest rigged

Mnie też coś bierze, gdy przegrwym z Chinczykiem - limp z TT ♠_confused: - wygrane(95% na river) rozdanie

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Graj rękę

$0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BB$2.12:///////;MP3$1.55:///////;CO$1.09:///////;BU$2.00:///////;SB (Hero)$2.40:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4:h, 5:h.
MP3 calls $0.02, CO calls $0.02, BU calls $0.02, Hero calls $0.01, BB checks.

Flop: ($0.1) 5:s, 9:s, 4:d (5 players)
Hero bets $0.06, BB folds, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.06, BU raises to $0.34, Hero raises to $1.18, CO folds, BU raises to $1.98, Hero calls $0.80.

Turn: ($4.12) 5:c (2 players)

River: ($4.12) T:d (2 players)

Final Pot: $4.12.
Results follow:

BU shows a full-house, tens full of fives(T:h T:c).
Hero shows a full-house, fives full of fours(4:h 5:h).

BU wins with a full-house, tens full of fives(T:h T:c).

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$2.28:///////;MP2$2.00:13/38 /15 /0.3/25 /0 /-/100 ;[/tg]
0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.78 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is SB with 2♣, 2♦
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.08, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.07, BB folds.

Flop: ($0.18) 4♥, 2♥, 6♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.12, MP2 calls $0.12.

Turn: ($0.42) A♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.28, MP2 calls $0.28.

River: ($0.98) 3♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.66, MP2 calls $0.66.

Final Pot: $2.30

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows trójka, dwójki (2c 2d)
MP2 shows trójka, trójki (3h 3s)

MP2 wins with trójka, trójki (3h 3s)

Ja pier*ole, przez takich typów jestem do tyłu w sesjach, na moje premium hands idą tylko foldy a z takim trashem idą hardo aż do showdownu :<

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$2,00:///////;MP2$3,55:15/20/20/3,0/75/0/-/67;[/tg]
0,01/0,02 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K♥, K♠
2 folds, Hero raises to $0,08, Hero raises to $0,16, MP2 raises to $0,16, MP2 raises to $0,32, 10 folds, Hero raises to $0,56, Hero raises to $0,96, MP2 raises to $3,71 (All-In), MP2 raises to $7,10 (All-In), Hero calls $1,52 (All-In), Hero calls $1,52 (All-In).

Flop: ($11,16) 3♣, A♦, J♦
Turn: ($11,16) Q♦
River: ($11,16) T♦ (2 players)

Final Pot: $11,16

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows strit, do as (Kh Ks)
MP2 shows poker królewski (Kd Kc)

MP2 wins with poker królewski (Kd Kc)

Kiedy już liczyłem na tie...

No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 400/800 Blinds (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB (t13195)
UTG (t8225)
UTG+1 (t20689)
MP1 (t53933)
MP2 (t45352)
MP3 (t37280)
CO (t13345)
Hero (Button) (t23170)
SB (t15000)

Hero's M: 19.31

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, A
6 folds, Hero bets t2400, 1 fold, BB calls t1600

Flop: (t5200) 5, 7, K (2 players)
BB bets t10720, Hero calls t10720

Turn: (t26640) Q (2 players)

River: (t26640) 5 (2 players)

Total pot: t26640

Results:
Hero had K, A (two pair, Kings and fives).
BB had 5, A (three of a kind, fives).
Outcome: BB won t27315

jeez, pula na 2x sredni stack:s ♠ ♠

Full Tilt Poker Game #19922883526: $2 + $0.25 Sit & Go (Turbo) (152651295), Table 1 - 40/80 - No Limit Hold'em - 15:46:32 ET - 2010/04/08
Seat 1: VooK7 (2,360)
Seat 2: MOON088 (5,060)
Seat 4: Dante872 (1,580)
Dante872 posts the small blind of 40
VooK7 posts the big blind of 80
The button is in seat #2
HOLE CARDS
Dealt to Dante872 [Qc Jd]
MOON088 raises to 160
Dante872 calls 120
VooK7 calls 80
FLOP [Tc 9s 8c]
Dante872 checks
VooK7 checks
MOON088 bets 480
Dante872 raises to 960
VooK7 folds
MOON088 calls 480
TURN [Tc 9s 8c] [Kc]
Dante872 bets 460, and is all in
MOON088 calls 460
Dante872 shows [Qc Jd]
MOON088 shows [Ks Kh]
RIVER [Tc 9s 8c Kc] [9d]
Dante872 shows a straight, King high
MOON088 shows a full house, Kings full of Nines
MOON088 wins the pot (3,320) with a full house, Kings full of Nines
SUMMARY
Total pot 3,320 | Rake 0
Board: [Tc 9s 8c Kc 9d]
Seat 1: VooK7 (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 2: MOON088 (button) showed [Ks Kh] and won (3,320) with a full house, Kings full of Nines
Seat 4: Dante872 (small blind) showed [Qc Jd] and lost with a straight, King high

96% na flopie ♠_frown:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($10)
UTG ($13.25)
MP1 ($10)
MP2 ($26.15)
CO ($5)
Hero (Button) ($10)
SB ($22.95)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J, J
4 folds, Hero bets $0.40, SB calls $0.35, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.90) 2, 5, 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.90) 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1, SB raises to $3.70, Hero calls $2.70

River: ($9.30) 10 (2 players)
SB bets $5.30, Hero calls $5.30

Total pot: $19.90 | Rake: $0.95

Results:
Hero had J, J (one pair, Jacks).
SB had 3, 4 (straight, six high).
Outcome: SB won $18.95

POPIERDOLI MNIE CHYBA

Everest Poker $0.15/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 631624
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $13.25
BB: $24.95
UTG: $43.35
MP: $53.39
CO: $27.70
Hero (BTN): $37.35

Pre Flop: ($0.40) Hero is BTN with K K
1 fold, MP raises to $0.90, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3.10, 2 folds, MP calls $2.20

Flop: ($6.60) Q 3 7 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $4.00, MP raises to $18.60, Hero raises to $34.25 all in, MP raises to $50.29 all in

Turn: ($75.10) 8 (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($75.10) 9 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $75.10
MP shows 2 2
Hero shows K K
MP wins $72.10
(Rake: $3.00)

ale szmata jebana kurwa mać a wiedziałem, że chuj gówno ma... jebany idiota all in na deepie z 22 jezu

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$6,00:///////;BB$2,85:46/41/2/0,8/39/0/0/22;UTG1$11,05:46/59/7/1,4/31/33/0/67;[/tg]
0,25/0,5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is SB with T♦, 5♦
UTG1 calls, 6 folds, Hero calls, BB checks.

Flop: (3,00 SB) 8♦, J♦, Q♦ (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG1 bets, Hero calls, BB folds.

Turn: (2,50 BB) 8♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG1 bets, Hero raises, UTG1 calls.

River: (6,50 BB) 7♦ (2 players)
Hero bets, UTG1 raises, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 10,50 BB

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows kolor, dama high (Td 5d)
UTG1 shows ful, ósemki na siódemki (8s 7h)

UTG1 wins with ful, ósemki na siódemki (8s 7h)

2,9% = prawie 100%.. tzn 100%, albo nawet więcej.. przecież to zawsze dochodzi więc izi...
pierdolony kurwa ftp river. dziś zabrał z 30$.

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;BB$31,95:1 434/20/16/2,5/37/42/44/46;Hero$10,90:///////;[/tg]
0,25/0,5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A♠, A♣
3 folds, Hero raises, 4 folds, BB calls.

Flop: (4,40 SB) 7♣, 4♠, 6♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls.

Turn: (4,20 BB) 7♠ (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls.

River: (6,20 BB) 5♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.

Final Pot: 8,20 BB

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows dwie pary, asy i siódemki (As Ac)
BB shows strit, do siódemka (3d 3s)

BB wins with strit, do siódemka (3d 3s)

o kurwa, nie, po prostu nie.

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;BB$25,40:922/13/9/1,6/30/25/76/61;UTG2$6,00:549/17/11/1,8/47/26/55/45;Hero$8,70:///////;MP2$8,95:107/17/2/1,1/33/0/-/33;[/tg]
0,25/0,5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A♥, A♣
UTG2 raises, Hero 3-bets, MP2 calls, 4 folds, BB caps, UTG2 calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls.

Flop: (16,40 SB) 7♣, 7♠, 7♥ (4 players)
BB checks, UTG2 bets, Hero calls, MP2 raises, BB 3-bets, UTG2 calls, Hero caps, MP2 calls, BB calls, UTG2 calls.

Turn: (16,20 BB) 3♣ (4 players)
BB bets, UTG2 calls, Hero raises, MP2 3-bets, BB caps, UTG2 calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls.

River: (32,20 BB) J♠ (4 players)
BB bets, UTG2 raises, Hero calls, MP2 calls, BB calls.

Final Pot: 40,20 BB

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows ful, siódemki na asy (Ah Ac)
BB shows ful, siódemki na damy (Qd Qs)
UTG2 shows ful, walety na siódemki (Jh Jd)
MP2 shows ful, siódemki na króle (Ks Kh)

UTG2 wins with ful, walety na siódemki (Jh Jd)

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$10,55:///////;CO$22,25:77/60/10/2,4/46/20/0/68;[/tg]
0,25/0,5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K♦, J♥
2 folds, Hero raises, MP3 folds, CO 3-bets, 3 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (7,40 SB) T♣, K♠, 8♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (4,70 BB) 4♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero raises, CO calls.

River: (8,70 BB) 9♣ (2 players)
Hero bets, CO raises, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 12,70 BB

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows para króle (Kd Jh)
CO shows dwie pary, króle i dziewiątki (9h Kh)

CO wins with dwie pary, króle i dziewiątki (9h Kh)

jeszcze dwa, ale to dopiero poczatek, takich rozdan milion dzis bylo..

kurwa 15% czy 6% czy jebane 2,8% to jest kurwa prawie 100%, nie?

ja pierdole..

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$12,75:///////;BU$2,85:123/76/4/0,6/34/0/0/50;[/tg]
0,25/0,5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A♣, T♦
3 folds, Hero raises, 2 folds, BU calls, 2 folds.

Flop: (5,40 SB) 5♥, Q♦, T♥ (2 players)
Hero bets, BU calls.

Turn: (3,70 BB) 8♥ (2 players)
Hero bets, BU calls.

River: (5,70 BB) 6♠ (2 players)
Hero bets, BU raises, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 9,70 BB

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows para dziesiątki (Ac Td)
BU shows strit, do dziesiątka (7s 9s)

BU wins with strit, do dziesiątka (7s 9s)

chyba 3 miejsce.. izi call z 9-high na QT5.. chyba ze jest daltonistą i widział flush-draw..